Plymouth v AFC Wimbledon prediction

PlymouthLWWWL

AFC WimbledonLWWDD

What to expect

We expect about 2.1 goals from Plymouth and 0.9 from AFC Wimbledon, so Plymouth come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

AFC Wimbledon come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Plymouth to win. Plymouth are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.1-0.9), and we make them about 70% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.

We put the chance of that landing at about 68 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.45, which works out at about 69 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say

✓Plymouth have won three of their last five.

✓AFC Wimbledon have won two of their last five.

✓Two of the last four meetings finished under 2.5 goals.

✓Both teams scored in two of the last four meetings.

Recent meetings

18 Apr 2026AFC Wimbledon 1 - 3 Plymouth

18 Oct 2025Plymouth 1 - 2 AFC Wimbledon

8 Mar 2022Plymouth 2 - 0 AFC Wimbledon

18 Sept 2021AFC Wimbledon 0 - 1 Plymouth

Plymouth have won three of the last four meetings.

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