How it turned out
We projected about 2.7 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Both teams to score 55%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
The game looks evenly balanced. Our goal expectations are 1.3 for Doncaster and 1.4 for Notts County, so there is almost nothing separating the two sides on paper. With both teams averaging just over a goal each, we expect a tight match where either side can find the net.
Doncaster have not been able to win in their last three league outings, managing two draws and a loss. Notts County’s recent form is not listed, but the lack of a clear edge in the goal averages suggests neither side has a strong recent advantage. Past meetings are not provided, so we can only rely on the current numbers, which point to a match where goals are likely to come from both ends.
We pick both teams to score. Both sides have enough attacking threat to get at least one goal, and the price of 1.74 matches our view of the game. With a 55 % chance of this happening, the pick feels right on the money and offers a decent return if it works.
For the bet to fail, one team would need to keep a clean sheet. That would require a very solid defensive display from either side, which seems less likely given the goal averages. We are fairly confident in our view, but we acknowledge a shut-out would overturn the pick.
Recent results
Notts County have won two of the last four meetings, with one drawn.
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