What to expect
We expect about 1.5 goals from Mansfield and 1.4 from Oxford, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.5-1.4), and we make both teams to score about 61%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 61 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
What the numbers say
✓Mansfield have not won any of their last five.
✓Oxford have won three of their last five.
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