What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from Peterboro and 1.1 from Stevenage, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals. This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.4 goals in total (xG 1.3-1.1), keeping it under more often than not (about 80%). Clear chances should be at a premium.
We put the chance of that landing at about 80 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.31, which works out at about 76 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
One thing to watch
One end-to-end spell, or a defensive mistake, and the goals can pile up before either side settles.
