Stockport v Barnsley prediction

StockportLWLDW

BarnsleyWWLLD

What to expect

We expect about 2.2 goals from Stockport and 1.1 from Barnsley, so Stockport come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.4 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Our pick: Stockport to win. Stockport are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.2-1.1), and we make them about 66% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.

We put the chance of that landing at about 65 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.40, which works out at about 71 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say

✓Stockport have won two of their last five.

✓Barnsley have won two of their last five.

✓Two of the last four meetings finished under 2.5 goals.

✓Both teams scored in four of the last four meetings.

Recent meetings

2 May 2026Barnsley 1 - 3 Stockport

29 Nov 2025Stockport 1 - 1 Barnsley

8 Feb 2025Stockport 2 - 1 Barnsley

28 Sept 2024Barnsley 1 - 1 Stockport

Stockport have won two of the last four meetings, with two drawn.

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