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Football/EFL League One/Wycombe v Sheffield Weds
EFL League One · Adams Park

Wycombe v Sheffield Weds: how it went

Wycombe crestWycombe12th of 24 · 10 ptsLWDDL
1 - 2
Sheffield Weds crestSheffield Weds2nd of 24 · 14 ptsLWWLW
Full time

How it turned out

We projected about 3.5 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Both teams to score 65%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

The game looks very even. Wycombe are expected to score about 1.7 goals and Sheffield Wednesday about 1.8. Those numbers are almost the same, so there is little to separate them. With roughly three and a half goals expected in total, the match should open up with chances for both sides rather than being a tight, low-scoring affair.

Both clubs have shown a similar threat in recent games, each averaging close to two goals per match. When they have met before, the scores have tended to be close, with both teams often finding the net. That pattern fits the current expectations and suggests another game where goals are likely to come from either end.

Our pick is that both teams will score. The chance of this happening sits at about 65 % in our view, and the price of 1.57 matches our own reading of the match. Both sides have enough attacking power to get on the scoresheet, and the expected goal figures support a fairly open encounter.

For the pick to fail, one side would need to keep a clean sheet. That would require a strong defensive display or a rare miss in front of goal. While that can happen, we feel the likelihood of a shut-out is low, so we hold our view with a solid degree of confidence.

What the numbers say
✓Wycombe have won one of their last five.
✓Sheffield Weds have won three of their last five.
✓Two of the last four meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last four meetings.

Recent results

14 Jan 2023Wycombe 0 - 1 Sheffield Weds
24 Sept 2022Sheffield Weds 3 - 1 Wycombe
23 Apr 2022Wycombe 1 - 0 Sheffield Weds
27 Nov 2021Sheffield Weds 2 - 2 Wycombe

Sheffield Weds have won two of the last four meetings, with one drawn.

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