How it turned out
We projected about 2.6 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.5 goals from Barnet and 1.1 from Salford, so Barnet come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Barnet (Draw No Bet). Barnet favoured (xG 1.5-1.1); a draw refunds your stake.
We put the chance of that landing at about 63 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.67, which works out at about 60 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
One thing to watch
A draw hands your stake back, so only an outright Salford win beats you — but on the day nothing is guaranteed. At around 63% on our numbers, it's a solid lean rather than a certainty.
