How it turned out
We projected about 2.3 goals; the game finished with 1.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.1 goals from Crawley Town and 1.3 from Crewe, so Crewe come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Crawley Town come into this on three straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals. Low-scoring lean. The model projects about 2.3 in total.
We put the chance of that landing at about 78 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.31, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent meetings
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