What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Crawley Town and 1.1 from Shrewsbury, so Crawley Town come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Shrewsbury come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Crawley Town or Draw. This covers Crawley Town or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 68 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.43, which works out at about 70 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Shrewsbury have won two of the last four meetings, with one drawn.
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