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Football/EFL League Two/Colchester v Rochdale
EFL League Two · JobServe Community Stadium

Colchester v Rochdale: how it went

Colchester crestColchester15th of 24 · 10 ptsLLWDW
1 - 0
Rochdale crestRochdale16th of 24 · 10 ptsWWDLL
Full time

How it turned out

We projected about 2.8 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Colchester (Draw No Bet) 69%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 2.0 goals from Colchester and 0.8 from Rochdale, so Colchester come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Rochdale come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Colchester (Draw No Bet). Colchester are favoured here (xG 1.8-0.8), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Colchester defeat beats you.

We put the chance of that landing at about 69 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.62, which works out at about 62 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.

What the numbers say
✓Colchester have won two of their last five.
✓Rochdale have won two of their last five.
✓Three of the last four meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last four meetings.

Recent meetings

14 Jan 2023Rochdale 1 - 2 Colchester
24 Sept 2022Colchester 0 - 1 Rochdale
1 Feb 2022Colchester 1 - 1 Rochdale
27 Aug 2021Rochdale 1 - 1 Colchester
The last four meetings are split 1-1, with two drawn.

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