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Football/EFL League Two/Crewe v Rochdale
EFL League Two · Mornflake Stadium

Crewe v Rochdale prediction

Crewe crestCrewe3rd of 24 · 18 ptsDDDWW
v
Rochdale crestRochdale10th of 24 · 14 ptsWWWLD

What to expect

We expect about 1.4 goals from Crewe and 1.0 from Rochdale, so Crewe come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Crewe come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Rochdale to score 1 or fewer. This is about Rochdale's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.0 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 75%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.35, which works out at about 74 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
✓Crewe are unbeaten in their last five — two wins and three draws.
✓Rochdale have won three of their last five.

Recent meetings

25 Feb 2023Crewe 1 - 1 Rochdale
30 Jul 2022Rochdale 1 - 2 Crewe
Crewe have won one of the last two meetings, with one drawn.

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