Crewe v York: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 2.9 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Both teams to score 54%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.6 goals from Crewe and 1.4 from York, so Crewe come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Crewe come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.6-1.3), and we make both teams to score about 58%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 54 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.67, which works out at about 60 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.