What to expect
We expect about 1.2 goals from Newport County and 1.3 from Colchester, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Newport County to score. This is about Newport County's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.2 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 72%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 72 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.30, which works out at about 77 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent meetings
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