What to expect
We expect about 1.2 goals from Newport County and 1.8 from York, so York come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: York or Draw. This covers York or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.27, which works out at about 79 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
What the numbers say
✓Newport County are unbeaten in their last five — three wins and two draws.
✓York have won two of their last five.
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