What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Oldham and 1.0 from Chesterfield, so Oldham come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Chesterfield come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Over 2.5 goals. This does not need a goal rush: we make it around 2.4 goals (xG 1.4-1.0), and three is enough to land it, landing about 49% of the time on these numbers.
We put the chance of that landing at about 46 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.88, which works out at about 53 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Oldham have won two of their last five.
✓Chesterfield have won one of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
17 Mar 2026Chesterfield 0 - 3 Oldham
1 Jan 2026Oldham 1 - 1 Chesterfield
16 Mar 2024Oldham 2 - 2 Chesterfield
19 Aug 2023Chesterfield 1 - 1 Oldham
25 Feb 2023Chesterfield 0 - 1 Oldham
