What to expect
We expect about 1.0 goals from Rochdale and 1.4 from Grimsby, so Grimsby come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Grimsby or Draw. This covers Grimsby or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.30, which works out at about 77 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Grimsby have won two of the last two meetings.
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