How it turned out
We projected about 2.5 goals and the game finished with 2. We made Rochdale to score 1 or fewer 73%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 0.9 goals from Rochdale and 1.5 from Oldham, so Oldham come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Oldham come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Rochdale to score 1 or fewer. This is about Rochdale's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 0.9 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 73%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.41, which works out at about 71 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Oldham have won two of the last five meetings, with three drawn.
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