What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from Walsall and 0.9 from Port Vale, so Walsall come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Walsall come into this on three straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Over 2.5 goals. This does not need a goal rush: we make it around 2.2 goals (xG 1.3-0.9), and three is enough to land it, landing about 50% of the time on these numbers.
We put the chance of that landing at about 48 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.76, which works out at about 57 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Walsall are unbeaten in their last five — one win and four draws.
✓Port Vale have won one of their last five.
✓Three of the last four meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in one of the last four meetings.
Recent meetings
5 Apr 2025Walsall 2 - 3 Port Vale
7 Dec 2024Port Vale 0 - 1 Walsall
23 Apr 2022Walsall 2 - 0 Port Vale
23 Nov 2021Port Vale 0 - 1 Walsall
