How it turned out
We projected about 2.7 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Swindon to score 76%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from Rochdale and 1.3 from Swindon, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Rochdale come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Swindon to score. This is about Swindon's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.4 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 76%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 76 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.32, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Swindon have won one of the last four meetings, with three drawn.
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