Rotherham v Salford: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 2.5 goals; the game finished with 6. Both teams scored. We made Rotherham to score 74%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.3 goals from Rotherham and 1.2 from Salford, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Salford come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Rotherham to score. This is about Rotherham's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.3 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 74%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.30, which works out at about 77 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.