What to expect
We expect about 0.8 goals from Shrewsbury and 1.0 from Northampton, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 1.8 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Shrewsbury come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Northampton to win. Northampton shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.8-1.0), and we make them about 41% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 40 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.45, which works out at about 41 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
