How it turned out
We projected about 2.6 goals and the game finished with 2. We made Over 1.5 goals 70%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.0 goals from Tranmere and 1.6 from Oldham, so Oldham come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Tranmere come into this on three straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Over 1.5 goals. This does not need a goal rush: we make it around 2.6 goals (xG 1.0-1.6), and two is enough to land it, landing about 72% of the time on these numbers.
We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.32, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
The last four meetings are split 2-2, with no drawn.
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