What to expect
We expect about 1.7 goals from Walsall and 0.8 from Crawley Town, so Walsall come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Crawley Town come into this on four straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Walsall to win. Walsall are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.7-0.8), and we make them about 58% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 57 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
Recent results
All five of the last meetings were drawn.
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