What to expect
We expect about 1.7 goals from York and 0.7 from Northampton, so York come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Northampton come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: York to win. York are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.7-0.7), and we make them about 56% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 55 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.69, which works out at about 59 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
