How it turned out
We projected about 2.9 goals and the game finished with 2.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.1 goals from Juarez and 1.8 from Tigres UANL, so Tigres UANL come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Juarez come into this on five straight defeats. Tigres UANL come into this on three straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Tigres UANL to score 2 or fewer. This is about Tigres UANL's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.9 on the day, and the bet wants them to 2 or fewer, which we make about 77%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.31, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Tigres UANL have won three of the last five meetings.
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