What to expect
We expect about 1.2 goals from Atlante and 1.1 from Pachuca, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Over 2.5 goals. This does not need a goal rush: we make it around 2.3 goals (xG 1.2-1.1), and three is enough to land it, landing about 43% of the time on these numbers.
We put the chance of that landing at about 41 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.70, which works out at about 59 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
