What to expect
We expect about 1.6 goals from Club Tijuana and 1.0 from Queretaro, so Club Tijuana come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Club Tijuana to win. Club Tijuana are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.6-1.0), and we make them about 51% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 50 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.05, which works out at about 49 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
What the numbers say
✓Club Tijuana have won three of their last five.
✓Queretaro have won three of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
15 Jan 2026Queretaro 1 - 2 Club Tijuana
12 Jul 2025Club Tijuana 1 - 0 Queretaro
25 Jan 2025Club Tijuana 2 - 1 Queretaro
6 Jul 2024Queretaro 1 - 2 Club Tijuana
10 Feb 2024Club Tijuana 1 - 1 Queretaro
