How it turned out
We projected about 3.0 goals; the game finished with 0. We made Tigres UANL to score 74%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.6 goals from Monterrey and 1.4 from Tigres UANL, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Monterrey come into this on two straight defeats. Tigres UANL come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Tigres UANL to score. This is about Tigres UANL's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.4 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 74%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.37, which works out at about 73 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Tigres UANL have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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