What to expect
We expect about 1.9 goals from UNAM Pumas and 1.0 from Club Leon, so UNAM Pumas come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: UNAM Pumas (Draw No Bet). UNAM Pumas are favoured here (xG 2.0-1.0), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a UNAM Pumas defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.44, which works out at about 69 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
What the numbers say
✓UNAM Pumas have won two of their last five.
✓Club Leon have won three of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
18 Jan 2026UNAM Pumas 1 - 1 Club Leon
26 Oct 2025Club Leon 1 - 1 UNAM Pumas
31 Mar 2025Club Leon 1 - 2 UNAM Pumas
7 Jul 2024UNAM Pumas 4 - 1 Club Leon
15 Apr 2024UNAM Pumas 1 - 0 Club Leon
