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Football/Liga MX/Atlas v Atlante
Liga MX · Estadio Jalisco

Atlas v Atlante: how it went

Atlas crestAtlas6th of 18 · 17 ptsWLWWL
1 - 1
Atlante crestAtlante14th of 18 · 11 ptsDWDLD
Full time

How it turned out

We projected about 2.3 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.3 goals from Atlas and 1.1 from Atlante, so Atlas come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Under 3.5 goals. This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.3 goals in total (xG 1.3-1.0), keeping it under more often than not (about 75%). Clear chances should be at a premium.

We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.39, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
✓Atlas have won three of their last five.
✓Atlante have won one of their last five.
✓Three of the last four meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last four meetings.

Recent results

19 Jan 2014Atlas 0 - 1 Atlante
31 Jul 2013Atlante 1 - 1 Atlas
10 Feb 2013Atlas 2 - 1 Atlante
27 Aug 2012Atlante 1 - 0 Atlas

Atlante have won two of the last four meetings, with one drawn.

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