How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals; the game finished with 5. Both teams scored.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.7 goals from Club Tijuana and 1.1 from Santos Laguna, so Club Tijuana come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Club Tijuana come into this on four straight draws. Santos Laguna come into this on five straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Santos Laguna to score 1 or fewer. This is about Santos Laguna's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.0 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 79%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 79 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.49, which works out at about 67 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.
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