How it turned out
We projected about 2.6 goals; the game finished with 7. Both teams scored. We made Cruz Azul to score 78%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from Cruz Azul and 1.2 from Club America, so Cruz Azul come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Cruz Azul come into this on two straight wins. Club America come into this on four straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Cruz Azul to score. This is about Cruz Azul's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.4 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 78%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 78 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.33, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Cruz Azul have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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