How it turned out
We projected about 2.9 goals; the game finished with 7. Both teams scored. We made Angers to score 1 or fewer 75%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.1 goals from Angers and 1.9 from Marseille, so Marseille come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Marseille come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Angers to score 1 or fewer. This is about Angers's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.0 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 75%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.55, which works out at about 65 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Marseille have won three of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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