What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Lorient and 1.6 from Monaco, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.4-1.6), and we make both teams to score about 59%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 59 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.68, which works out at about 60 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
What the numbers say
✓Lorient have won one of their last five.
✓Monaco are unbeaten in their last five — four wins and one draw.
✓Five of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in five of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
16 Jan 2026Monaco 1 - 3 Lorient
27 Sept 2025Lorient 3 - 1 Monaco
17 Mar 2024Monaco 2 - 2 Lorient
17 Sept 2023Lorient 2 - 2 Monaco
16 Apr 2023Monaco 3 - 1 Lorient
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