How it turned out
We projected about 2.6 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Le Havre or Draw 71%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from Le Havre and 1.2 from Auxerre, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Le Havre come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Le Havre or Draw. This covers Le Havre or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 71 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.37, which works out at about 73 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Le Havre have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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