Ligue 1Sat 10 Oct · 15:15 UTC

Lille v Le Havre prediction

LilleWDWLW

Le HavreWLDLD

What to expect

We expect about 1.6 goals from Lille and 0.7 from Le Havre, so Lille come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Lille to win. Lille are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.6-0.7), and we make them about 64% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.

We put the chance of that landing at about 63 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.42, which works out at about 70 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say

✓Lille have won three of their last five.

✓Le Havre have won one of their last five.

✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.

✓Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

3 May 2026Lille 1 - 1 Le Havre

30 Nov 2025Le Havre 0 - 1 Lille

8 Feb 2025Lille 1 - 2 Le Havre

28 Sept 2024Le Havre 0 - 3 Lille

17 Feb 2024Lille 3 - 0 Le Havre

Lille have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.

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