Boulogne v Nantes: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 2.4 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Boulogne to score 73%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.4 goals from Boulogne and 1.1 from Nantes, so Boulogne come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Boulogne come into this on four straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Boulogne to score. This is about Boulogne's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.4 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 73%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.48, which works out at about 68 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.