What to expect
We expect about 1.5 goals from Boulogne and 1.2 from Nantes, so Boulogne come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Boulogne come into this on four straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.5-1.2), and we make both teams to score about 51%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 51 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.85, which works out at about 54 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Boulogne have not won any of their last five.
✓Nantes have won one of their last five.
