How it turned out
We projected about 2.0 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Clermont to score 1 or fewer 73%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.1 goals from Grenoble and 0.9 from Clermont, so Grenoble come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.0 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Clermont come into this on four straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Clermont to score 1 or fewer. This is about Clermont's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 0.9 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 73%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.30, which works out at about 77 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
The last four meetings are split 1-1, with two drawn.
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