What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Metz and 1.5 from St Etienne, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Metz to score. This is about Metz's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.4 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 75%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.35, which works out at about 74 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
What the numbers say
✓Metz have won one of their last five.
✓St Etienne have won four of their last five.
✓Two of the last four meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last four meetings.
Recent meetings
22 Apr 2023St Etienne 1 - 3 Metz
7 Nov 2022Metz 3 - 2 St Etienne
6 Mar 2022St Etienne 1 - 0 Metz
30 Oct 2021Metz 1 - 1 St Etienne
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