How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals; the game finished with 6. Both teams scored. We made Metz or Draw 72%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.3 goals from Dijon and 1.5 from Metz, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Dijon come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Metz or Draw. This covers Metz or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 72 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.42, which works out at about 70 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Dijon have won one of the last two meetings, with one drawn.
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