How it turned out
We projected about 3.3 goals; the game finished with 2. We made Dunkerque to score 77%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.5 goals from Pau FC and 1.8 from Dunkerque, so Dunkerque come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Dunkerque to score. This is about Dunkerque's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.8 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 77%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.34, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Dunkerque have won four of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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