What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from Reims and 1.0 from Montpellier, so Reims come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Reims to score 2 or fewer. This is about Reims's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.3 on the day, and the bet wants them to 2 or fewer, which we make about 78%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 78 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.31, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
What the numbers say
✓Reims are unbeaten in their last five — three wins and two draws.
✓Montpellier have won three of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
27 Feb 2026Montpellier 0 - 0 Reims
24 Nov 2025Reims 2 - 0 Montpellier
27 Apr 2025Montpellier 0 - 0 Reims
6 Oct 2024Reims 4 - 2 Montpellier
21 Apr 2024Reims 1 - 2 Montpellier
