How it turned out
We projected about 2.7 goals; the game finished with 7. Both teams scored. We made Nancy to score 1 or fewer 73%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.6 goals from Rodez and 1.0 from Nancy, so Rodez come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Rodez come into this on two straight defeats. Nancy come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Nancy to score 1 or fewer. This is about Nancy's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.0 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 73%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.50, which works out at about 67 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Rodez have won two of the last four meetings, with two drawn.
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