What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from FC Résidence Walferdange and 1.6 from US Mondorf les Bains, so US Mondorf les Bains come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
US Mondorf les Bains come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: US Mondorf les Bains to win. US Mondorf les Bains shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.4-1.7), and we make them about 55% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 53 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.54, which works out at about 65 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
