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Football/MLS/CF Montreal v FC Cincinnati
MLS · Stade Saputo

CF Montreal v FC Cincinnati prediction

CF Montreal crestCF MontrealDLLLL
v
FC Cincinnati crestFC CincinnatiLLLDD

What to expect

We expect about 1.7 goals from CF Montreal and 1.9 from FC Cincinnati, so FC Cincinnati come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.6 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

CF Montreal come into this on four straight defeats. FC Cincinnati come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.7-1.9), and we make both teams to score about 66%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 66 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.41, which works out at about 71 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
CF Montreal have not won any of their last five.
FC Cincinnati have not won any of their last five.
Five of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

22 Mar 2026FC Cincinnati 4 - 3 CF Montreal
18 Oct 2025FC Cincinnati 3 - 0 CF Montreal
26 Jun 2025CF Montreal 1 - 3 FC Cincinnati
1 Sept 2024FC Cincinnati 4 - 1 CF Montreal
14 Apr 2024CF Montreal 2 - 1 FC Cincinnati
FC Cincinnati have won four of the last five meetings.

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