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Football/MLS/CF Montreal v Los Angeles Galaxy
MLS · Stade Saputo

CF Montreal v Los Angeles Galaxy prediction

CF Montreal crestCF MontrealDDLLD
v
Los Angeles Galaxy crestLos Angeles GalaxyDLLDD

What to expect

We expect about 1.5 goals from CF Montreal and 1.4 from Los Angeles Galaxy, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Los Angeles Galaxy come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.5-1.4), and we make both teams to score about 57%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 57 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.

What the numbers say
CF Montreal have not won any of their last five.
Los Angeles Galaxy have not won any of their last five.
Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

5 Jul 2022Los Angeles Galaxy 4 - 0 CF Montreal
22 Sept 2019Los Angeles Galaxy 2 - 1 CF Montreal
21 May 2018CF Montreal 0 - 1 Los Angeles Galaxy
8 Apr 2017Los Angeles Galaxy 2 - 0 CF Montreal
29 May 2016CF Montreal 3 - 2 Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles Galaxy have won four of the last five meetings.

One thing to watch

If one attack goes missing for the night, both teams scoring falls flat. Even on our own read it's closer to a coin-flip than a sure thing — about 57%.

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