What to expect
We expect about 2.0 goals from FC Cincinnati and 1.5 from Seattle Sounders, so FC Cincinnati come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.5 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Over 2.5 goals. This should be an open game: we make it around 3.5 goals between the two (xG 2.0-1.5), landing about 62% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.
We put the chance of that landing at about 62 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
An early goal can kill the tempo just as easily as spark it, and a quiet second half leaves this short. At around 62% on our numbers, it's a solid lean rather than a certainty.
