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Football/MLS/Charlotte v Houston Dynamo
MLS · Bank of America Stadium

Charlotte v Houston Dynamo prediction

Charlotte crestCharlotteDWLWD
v
Houston Dynamo crestHouston DynamoWWWWW

What to expect

We expect about 1.5 goals from Charlotte and 1.2 from Houston Dynamo, so Charlotte come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Houston Dynamo come into this on five straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.5-1.2), and we make both teams to score about 59%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 59 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.58, which works out at about 63 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
Charlotte have won two of their last five.
Houston Dynamo are unbeaten in their last five — five wins and no draws.

Recent meetings

30 Jun 2024Houston Dynamo 1 - 0 Charlotte
4 Jul 2022Houston Dynamo 1 - 2 Charlotte
The last two meetings are split 1-1, with no drawn.

One thing to watch

One well-drilled defence, or a game that turns one-sided, and this is gone. The price is shorter than our own read of about 59%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.

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