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Football/MLS/FC Cincinnati v DC United
MLS · TQL Stadium

FC Cincinnati v DC United prediction

FC Cincinnati crestFC Cincinnati10th of 15 · 33 ptsWDWDL
v
DC United crestDC United11th of 15 · 30 ptsDDLLD
This match has been played — the final score is still to come.

What to expect

We expect about 2.3 goals from FC Cincinnati and 1.3 from DC United, so FC Cincinnati come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.6 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Our pick: FC Cincinnati to win. FC Cincinnati are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.3-1.3), and we make them about 62% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.

We put the chance of that landing at about 60 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.58, which works out at about 63 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
✓FC Cincinnati have won two of their last five.
✓DC United have not won any of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

1 Jun 2025FC Cincinnati 1 - 2 DC United
13 Apr 2025DC United 0 - 1 FC Cincinnati
4 Jul 2024DC United 2 - 3 FC Cincinnati
10 Mar 2024FC Cincinnati 0 - 0 DC United
25 Jun 2023DC United 3 - 0 FC Cincinnati
The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.

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