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Football/MLS/FC Dallas v Austin FC
MLS · Toyota Stadium Dallas

FC Dallas v Austin FC prediction

FC Dallas crestFC DallasLDWWW
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Austin FC crestAustin FCDWDDW

What to expect

We expect about 2.2 goals from FC Dallas and 1.2 from Austin FC, so FC Dallas come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.4 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

FC Dallas come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Over 2.5 goals. This should be an open game: we make it around 3.4 goals between the two (xG 2.2-1.2), landing about 61% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.

We put the chance of that landing at about 58 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.56, which works out at about 64 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
FC Dallas have won three of their last five.
Austin FC are unbeaten in their last five — two wins and three draws.
Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

17 Aug 2026Austin FC 1 - 2 FC Dallas
14 Sept 2025FC Dallas 2 - 0 Austin FC
17 Aug 2025Austin FC 1 - 1 FC Dallas
18 Jul 2024FC Dallas 3 - 1 Austin FC
12 May 2024FC Dallas 2 - 1 Austin FC
FC Dallas have won four of the last five meetings, with one drawn.

More MLS fixtures

Full fixture list
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